Mojtaba Momeni

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Every analysis by Mojtaba Momeni on Iran, the Middle East and South Asia, newest first.

Iran's Domestic Affairs & Foreign Policy · Regional Security & Geopolitics

Iran-US negotiations on 3 fronts: Diplomacy under military threat and Washington’s credibility crisis

Simultaneous diplomatic messages, warnings of renewed strikes and intensified economic pressure have placed Iran-US negotiations before a decisive test. Washington is attempting to combine these instruments to change Tehran’s calculations. Yet the continuing conflict and its economic consequences are also raising costs for the United States and its partners, while casting doubt on promises that military action would quickly achieve Washington’s objectives.

Iran's Domestic Affairs & Foreign Policy · Political Issues & Developments in the Middle East & South Asia · Regional Security & Geopolitics

3 scenarios for the Tehran meeting: Mecca Pact members between averting war and mutual restraint

The simultaneous presence of senior Saudi, Pakistani and Turkish defence and security officials at the Tehran meeting has opened another channel for preventing a wider war. Mecca Pact members are pursuing talks that could support mediation while clarifying security red lines. Whether either objective advances will depend on negotiations producing commitments beyond general statements about dialogue and regional stability.

Political Issues & Developments in the Middle East & South Asia

Israel elections 2026: A coalition with Arab parties could unlock Eisenkot’s path past Netanyahu

The parliamentary balance reported in the Israel elections 2026 places Arab parties in a potentially decisive position. A coalition with Arab parties could give Gadi Eisenkot the support needed to form a government and remove Benjamin Netanyahu from power. That prospect, however, depends on the final count, opposition unity and an agreement translating Arab representation into effective political participation.

فارسیالعربية